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Electoral Fraud or Violence: The Effect of Observers on Party Manipulation Strategies

Author

Joseph Asunka, Sarah Brierley, Miriam Golden, Eric Kramon, and George K. Ofosu

Published

2019

Abstract

This article reports on the effects of domestic election observers on electoral fraud and violence. Using an experimental research design and polling station data on fraud and violence during Ghana’s 2012 elections, it shows that observers reduced fraud and violence at the polling stations which they monitored. It is argued that local electoral competition shapes party activists’ response to observers. As expected, in single-party dominant areas, parties used their local political networks to relocate fraud to polling stations without an election observer, and, in contrast, party activists relocated violence to stations without observers in competitive areas – a response that requires less local organizational capacity. This highlights how local party organization and electoral incentives can shape the manipulative electoral strategies employed by parties in democratic elections.

British Journal of Political Science 49(1): 129–151, 2019.

Journal

Citation

BibTeX citation:
@article{asunka2019,
  author = {Asunka, Joseph and Brierley, Sarah and Golden, Miriam and
    Kramon, Eric and K. Ofosu, George},
  title = {Electoral {Fraud} or {Violence:} {The} {Effect} of
    {Observers} on {Party} {Manipulation} {Strategies}},
  journal = {British Journal of Political Science},
  volume = {49},
  number = {1},
  pages = {129-151},
  date = {2019-06-01},
  url = {https://www.cambridge.org/core/journals/british-journal-of-political-science/article/abs/div-classtitleelectoral-fraud-or-violence-the-effect-of-observers-on-party-manipulation-strategiesdiv/C1EC14B4C4BBB2156A9A17A24F6A90DF},
  langid = {en},
  abstract = {This article reports on the effects of domestic election
    observers on electoral fraud and violence. Using an experimental
    research design and polling station data on fraud and violence
    during Ghana’s 2012 elections, it shows that observers reduced fraud
    and violence at the polling stations which they monitored. It is
    argued that local electoral competition shapes party activists’
    response to observers. As expected, in single-party dominant areas,
    parties used their local political networks to relocate fraud to
    polling stations without an election observer, and, in contrast,
    party activists relocated violence to stations without observers in
    competitive areas – a response that requires less local
    organizational capacity. This highlights how local party
    organization and electoral incentives can shape the manipulative
    electoral strategies employed by parties in democratic elections.}
}
For attribution, please cite this work as:
Asunka, Joseph, Sarah Brierley, Miriam Golden, Eric Kramon, and George K. Ofosu. 2019. “Electoral Fraud or Violence: The Effect of Observers on Party Manipulation Strategies.” British Journal of Political Science 49 (1): 129–51. https://www.cambridge.org/core/journals/british-journal-of-political-science/article/abs/div-classtitleelectoral-fraud-or-violence-the-effect-of-observers-on-party-manipulation-strategiesdiv/C1EC14B4C4BBB2156A9A17A24F6A90DF.

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